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by     
Brian Spalding, of CHAM Ltd
December, 1999
Paper presented at I Mech E, London, December 14,1999
in "CFD - Technical Developments and future Trends"
Also available as: www.cham.co.uk/phoenics/d_polis/d_lecs/cmbstr5/cmbstr5.htm
Abstract of the March 1999 lecture
Contents of the present lecture
- Kolmogorov's "bright idea"
 - Presuming the PDFs; another "good idea at the time"
 - The direct route to the goal 
 - Relation to "flamelet" and other models 
 - Practical consequences
 - Concluding remarks  
 - References  
 
1. Kolmogorov's "bright idea"
- To attain the flow-prediction aims of CFD, we need to
    ascribe values to 
    time-averages of non-linear functions
    of fluid variables, for example:
     
    
<T**4>
 
    where T is the absolute temperature.
    
 - Other  quantities which we need to evaluate are
    time-averages of multiplication products, for
    example:
    
<u*v>
for shear stresses and 
    
<a*b>
 for chemical  reactions,
 
    
    where u and v are instantaneous velocity components, 
    and a and b are
    concentrations.
 - "All" that we need, to enable us to do so, is knowledge of the relevant
    "probability-density functions", for example the left-hand figures in:
    
     
Note that the right-hand-side diagrams are reminders of 
         the "inter-mingled fluid population" concept of a turbulent 
         fluid, which underlines the "multi-fluid model"
    
 - It is now possible to calculate the PDFs; but it was not in 1942, when
    A.N.Kolmogorov had a "bright idea", namely:
    
    - "Let's see if we can devise differential equations which have 
         just one or two statistical quantities as the dependent
         variables.
    
- "Then, if we can solve these equations, and
    
 - "if we can find sufficiently general empirical constants to
        insert in them, and
    
 - "if we can connect these quantities to the ones we want
        by empirical relationships,
    
 - "maybe we can do without the PDFs altogether"
 .
     
 - One of the empirical relationships (already proposed by Boussinesq) was 
    that turbulent flows were sufficiently like laminar ones for
    shear stresses, for example <u*v> (say) to be related
    to gradients of time-mean velocity by way of an "effective viscosity";
    then  this could be computed from the "dreamed-up" equations
    for the statistical quantities.
 Other innovators, for example Ludwig Prandtl and Howard Emmons, had the same 
    idea a little later; but it is fair to say that the whole of modern
    (sometimes ludicrously called "classical") turbulence modelling, springs from
    Kolmogorov's "bright idea".
- It was a good idea at the time; and it worked fairly well for
    the (rather undemanding) turbulent shear flows; but is 
    no use at all for chemical reaction 
 [or for flows in which
    body forces (gravity/swirl) act on fluids exhibiting density fluctuations;
    but that is not the subject of the present paper]
.
 
    
2. Presuming the PDFs; another "good idea at the time"
    That knowledge of the PDFs was needed for predicting reaction rates was
    obvious in the early 1970s; and the first idea was that it might
    suffice to presume their shape, and devise an additional 
    differential equation so as to find out everything elsew hich was 
    necessary.
    This notion led to:
    
    - the eddy-break-up model (EBU; Spalding, 1971)
    
 - the concentration-fluctuations model (CFM; Spalding, 1971)
    
 - the eddy-dissipation concept (EDC; Magnussen, 1976)
    
 - the two-fluid model (2FM; Spalding, 1981)
    
 - and innumerable variants on the same theme
    
 
    All of these involved the supposition that any turbulent mixture
    could be treated as the inter-mingling of two fluids, the 
    states and mixture fractions of which required to be computed from
    easy-to-formulate differential equations.
    
    This represented an advance on Kolmogorov's "ignore-the-PDFs"
    approach; but it was not good enough.
    
    
[Somebody might have thought at the time: If two is not enough,
         what about four? or eight? or sixteen? etc? 
         Refine the grid, dummy!
         But that did not happen for another 24 years!]
    So the next invention (by Bray, 1980) was the "flamelet" model, 
    which involves the
    presumption that the turbulent mixture consist of:
    
    -  fully-burned gas at the local time-average fuel-air ratio;
    
 -  fully-unburned gas at the local time-average fuel-air ratio;
    
 -  and a small amount of intermediate-state gas with a PDF which
         is the same as that prevailing in laminar steadily-propagating
         one-dimensional flames.
    
 
    This enables CFD/chemistry specialists to perform expensive 
    calculations; but, in the present author's view, has no other
    merit (if that is the right word) whatever. 
3. The direct route to the goal 
    
    - Presumed-PDF methods are what are mainly used by "high-tech"
    engineering companies at the present time. Nevertheless direct
    methods of calculating PDFs have been available for many
    years.
    
    
 - The "how-to-do-it" idea was provided by Dopazo and O'Brien in 
    1974; however, those authors were not numerical analysts at
     the time, so provided no solutions.
    
    
 - In 1982, Pope started to solve the relevant equations; but he used
    a "Monte Carlo" method, which proved to be expensive in terms
    of computer time. This may have given the "compute-the-PDF"
    approach a bad name. It is indeed little used in engineering
    practice.
    
    
 - More recently, the present author made the even-more-direct 
    approach of discretising the PDF, and solving for its
    ordinates. This so-called "Multi-Fluid-Model (MFM)" approach
    has proved to be simple in concept, economical
    in implementation, and realistic in its predictions.
    
This is what "dummy" should and could have done many years
        before. Turbulence-modelling history is a catalogue of missed 
        opportunities and false starts.]
    
    
 -  MFM can be regarded as what EBU should swiftly have developed
        into in the 1970s, having as many fluids, and as many 
        PDF dimensions ( 2 will be quite enough for the time 
        being), as the situation requires.
        
 
    
 - MFM is "too new" (five-years-old!) to have been adopted in engineering practice.
    
    
 -  At some time in the next millennium it will be (the author believes); perhaps 
         even in Year 2000.
    
 
4. Relation to "flamelet" and other models
 Since the "laminar-flamelet model LFM" is the most "advanced"
    which is currently used by engineering companies, it is worth 
    exploring the relations between it and MFM.
 This has been done in a recent paper, which shows that MFM 
    reduces to LFM in restricted circumstances; but it has a much
    wider range of validity.
 The highlights of the just-mentioned paper can be seen by
     clicking
    here. 
5. Practical consequences
    MFM is not just a scientist's plaything: it can already be used 
    to enable better designs to be distinguished from worse ones.
 A recent paper illustrates this by showing how MFM enables the
    smoke-generating propensities of gas-turbine-combustor designs to
    be predicted.
 The highlights of this paper can be seen by
     clicking
    here. 
6. Concluding remarks
    It is the author's view that all time spent on CFD calculations
    incorporating the "presumed-PDF" approach is wasted; and, if design
    decisions are based on their outcome, the desisions will be correct
    only by chance.
    Those who have considered but do not use the alternative, namely calculating
    the PDFs, argue only:
    
    -  it is too expensive (which may be true of Monte Carlo, but is 
         certainly not of MFM);
    
 -  what we have already is good enough (which is hard to prove);
    
 -  the superiority of MFM has not been proved (which is true of
         anything which one has not tried).
    
 
    To these arguments it can only be answered that:
    
    -  Kolmogorov's idea was adopted only because of its inherent 
         plausibility and practicability;
    
 -  the same was true of EBU, EDC, presumed-PDF, and all the rest;
    
 -  none of these were "proved", "validated", "generally accepted"
         before they were taken up; nor could they have been.
    
 -  How interesting it is that the conjectures of 
         almost thirty years present such obstacles to the innovations 
         of the 1990s!
    
 -  Will the new millennium allow us to be more adventurous?
    
 
   
         
   
7. References  
-  DB Spalding (1971) "Mixing and chemical reaction in confined
         turbulent flames";
         13th International Symposium on Combustion, pp 649-657
         The Combustion Institute
 - DB Spalding (1971) "Concentration fluctuations in a round 
    turbulent free jet"; J Chem Eng Sci, vol 26, p 95
 -     BF Magnussen and BH Hjertager (1976) "On mathematical modelling of
         turbulent combustion with special emphasis on soot formation
         and combustion". 16th Int. Symposium on Combustion, pp 719-729
         The Combustion Institute
 -  Bray KNC in Topics in Applied Physics, PA Libby and FA Williams, 
Springer Verlag, New York, 1980, p115
 -     SB Pope (1982) Combustion Science and Technology vol 28, p131
 -  C Dopazo and EE O'Brien (1974)
-  Acta Astronautica vol 1, p1239
-  DB Spalding (1999)
    
     "The use of CFD in the design and development of gas-turbine 
     combustors";
      www.cham.co.uk; shortcuts; CFD
 -  DB Spalding (1995) "Models of turbulent combustion"
     Proc. 2nd Colloquium on Process Simulation, pp 1-15
     Helsinki University of Technology, Espoo, Finland
     
 -  DB Spalding (1998)
     
The simulation of smoke generation in a 3-D combustor, by means of the 
     multi-fluid model of turbulent chemical reaction:
     Paper presented at the "Leading-Edge-Technologies Seminar" on "Turbulent 
     combustion of Gases and Liquids", organised by the Energy-Transfer and 
     Thermofluid-Mechanics Groups of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers
     at Lincoln, England, December 15-16, 1998
 -  Spalding DB (1999)
     "Connexions between the Multi-Fluid and 
     Flamelet models of turbulent combustion";
      www.cham.co.uk; shortcuts; 
     MFM